Navigating the Commons
Inefficiencies in the commons arise not only from resource use by existing participants but also from their capacity investment and the entry of new firms. This paper develops a model of firm dynamics with common-pool externalities and estimates it using firm-level panel data from the American whaling industry (1804-1909). I find that ignoring firms’ entry, exit, and investment understates the shadow value of whales, so a policy built on it forgoes much of the achievable welfare gain. In the long run, faster technological progress and longer-lasting demand lower welfare under open access, as excessive entry and investment exacerbate externalities.